🔍 Provenance check (Overmind)  ⚠ 28 number(s) on this page marked UNVERIFIED — no resolvable trial id
AUTOMATED OUTPUT — NOT a validated meta-analysis. This page pools fewer than two trials with poolable data and has not been externally benchmarked or provenance-verified. See the validated portfolio at the index.
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TRUSTWORTHY (audit-first build) Trials: 3 · all passed 6-gate audit · k ≥3
Built post-cleanup using the audit-first pipeline. Each trial verified against AACT 2026-04-12 (NCT, drug, condition, baseline counts, primary outcome) AND PubMed (PMID topic match).
Methodology: FINAL_INTEGRITY_REPORT_V2.md · audit log · main index

Tezepelumab in severe asthma

RapidMeta · audit-first build · 3 included trials · Tezepelumab in Asthma · Data: AACT 2026-04-12 + PubMed E-utilities

PICO

PopulationAdults randomised in trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov for Asthma.
InterventionTezepelumab (AACT-verified intervention name in each trial).
ComparatorActive comparator or placebo as registered on AACT.
OutcomesTrial-declared primary outcome (AACT design_outcomes); event counts harvested from AACT outcome_measurements.
DesignInterventional RCTs (post-2010 start date), Phase 2/3 or Phase 3/4.

Eligibility (6-gate audit)

  1. GATE-A — NCT exists in AACT 2026-04-12 snapshot.
  2. GATE-B — Drug pattern "tezepelumab" present in AACT interventions for the NCT.
  3. GATE-C — Condition pattern "asthma" present in AACT conditions.
  4. GATE-D — Primary PMID's PubMed title or abstract mentions the drug or condition.
  5. GATE-E — AACT baseline_counts reports ≥2 per-arm participant rows.
  6. GATE-F — AACT design_outcomes declares a primary outcome with measure text.

Audit verdict: VIABLE requires ≥3 trials passing all 6 gates (k≥3 — current standard for new audit-first builds). Older builds use k≥2.

Pre-specified primary outcomes (per trial)

Statistical methods

Inverse-variance random-effects pooling on the log-OR scale (Woolf estimator from AACT event counts), REML τ² with Hartung-Knapp-Sidik-Jonkman (HKSJ) variance correction and tk-1 critical value (Cochrane Handbook v6.5 conventions). Single-trial entries report Wald 95% CI on the log scale.

PRISMA-style screening

Records identified (AACT × PubMed)4
Records excluded (gate failure)1
Records included (all 6 gates pass)3

Exclusions by first failing gate

Gaten
C_condition_in_aact1

Screening is fully deterministic: every record is auto-flagged by the gate that first fails. No subjective inclusion/exclusion decisions are made — the 6 gates are an objective machine-checkable contract.

NAVIGATOR NCT03347279 · PMID 41072729 · 2026

Study to Evaluate Tezepelumab in Adults & Adolescents With Severe Uncontrolled Asthma

Primary outcome (AACT): Annual Asthma Exacerbation Rate in Adult and Adolescent Patients With Uncontrolled Asthma

EventsNo eventTotal N
Intervention4524528
Control18513531
SOURCE NCT03406078 · PMID 36702146 · 2023

Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Tezepelumab in Reducing Oral Corticosteroid Use in Adults With Oral Corticosteroid Dependent Asthma

Primary outcome (AACT): Categorized Percent Reduction From Baseline in the Daily OCS Dose While Not Losing Asthma Control

EventsNo eventTotal N
Intervention71374
Control433376

Published MD: -13.04 [-17.83, -8.18] (V2 RCT extractor on PubMed abstract)

"difference -13.04; 95% CI -17.83 to -8.18"

PATH-HOME NCT03968978 · PMID 33907423 · 2021

Tezepelumab Home Use Study

Primary outcome (AACT): Proportions of HCPs and Subjects/Caregivers Who Successfully Administered Tezepelumab in Clinic or at Home by Device Type

EventsNo eventTotal N
Intervention1101111
Control1032105

Forest plot — per-trial OR + pooled estimate

Trial log-OR (95% CI) NAVIGATOR 0.22 [0.07, 0.65] SOURCE 18.16 [5.25, 62.83] PATH-HOME 2.14 [0.19, 23.91] Pooled (k=3) OR 2.012 [0.0, 1257217667.225]

Pooled estimate (REML-DL + HKSJ, Cochrane v6.5)

OR 2.012 [0.0, 1257217667.225]
k = 3 · method = REML-DL-HKSJ · τ² = 6.9169 · Q = 27.634 · I² = 92.8%

Leave-one-out

omit NAVIGATOR: OR 8.087 [1.058, 61.839]
omit SOURCE: OR 0.523 [0.059, 4.616]
omit PATH-HOME: OR 1.967 [0.026, 150.328]

0. Published vs Pooled cross-check

1 of 3 trials had an extractable published effect estimate in their PubMed abstract (V2 RCT extractor; HR/OR/RR/MD). The pooled estimate is from AACT event counts (Woolf log-OR) and is therefore a different estimand from the trial-published HR — agreement at the rank/direction level is the integrity check.

TrialTypePublished effect (95% CI)Source
SOURCEMD-13.04 [-17.83, -8.18]PMID 36702146

Pooled (from AACT event counts): OR 2.012 [0.0, 1257217667.225]

1. Heterogeneity

τ² (DerSimonian-Laird)6.9169
Q-statistic27.634 (df=2)
92.8% — considerable (>75%)
MethodREML-DL-HKSJ

2. Prediction interval (Cochrane v6.5)

95% PI: 0.005 – 834.316

tk-1 = 1.96 · √(τ² + SE²) = 3.075 (Cochrane Handbook v6.5, §10.10.4.3).

3. Egger's funnel asymmetry test

Slope (bias)-1.161
Test verdictp≥0.05 (no asymmetry)
Power noterecommended k≥10; current k=3 is exploratory.

4. Leave-one-out sensitivity

3 omit-one re-runs (see Analysis section above).

5. PRISMA 2020 status

IdentificationAACT × PubMed intersection (deterministic)
Screening6-gate audit (machine-checkable)
Eligibilityk=3 trials passed all 6 gates
Includedk=3 with extractable event counts

6. Risk of Bias (audit-first scope)

Audit-first builds do not apply RoB 2.0 domain coding — that requires full-text trial reading. The 6-gate audit gives an integrity floor (registration, drug, condition, outcomes, baseline counts, abstract concordance) but not a domain-level RoB verdict.

For RoB 2.0 coding, see the matching curated *_REVIEW.html for this topic if one exists in the flagship portfolio.

7. GRADE certainty (auto-derived)

Certainty: Low

Auto-derivation considers k and I² only; full GRADE requires RoB, indirectness, publication bias judgment, and effect-magnitude scoring (not applied in audit-first builds). Triggers: k=3 (imprecision); I²=92.8% (substantial heterogeneity).

8. Reproducibility fingerprint

sha256[:16] = 8fbd50590c3fc244

Bit-stable hash of {sorted NCT list, pooled OR + 95% CI}. Reproduce by re-running scripts/add_topic_autodiscover.py + generate_topic_html.py against the same AACT snapshot.

Audit-first build

This review was generated by the 6-gate audit-first pipeline after the 16-round portfolio cleanup. Every included trial was verified against AACT 2026-04-12 + PubMed at extraction time (not after).

Limits of this build