CT.gov Publication Index Gap
2026-03-29 | full-registry ct.gov audit | plots, figures, and e156 bundle
Series
E156 Micro-Paper

CT.gov Publication Index Gap

A 156-word micro-paper on how much CT.gov publication-link missingness is actually an indexing and linkage gap once exact-ID search moves beyond the earlier PubMed-only pass.

PubMed
Europe PMC
NIH
Non-MED

Paper

A CT.gov record with no linked paper is not always an unpublished study. Often the paper trail exists, but the registry page does not show it.

Reading note

How much of CT.gov publication-link missingness survives when no-link studies are re-audited with broader exact-ID search beyond the earlier PubMed-only pass? We re-audited the existing 1,050-study sponsor-class-stratified sample of older no-link studies drawn from 140,363 eligible no-link records in the March 29, 2026 registry snapshot. We compared PubMed exact-ID matches with Europe PMC exact-ID matches, separating total rescue, non-MED rescue, and weighted publication-only visibility. Weighted PubMed exact-ID matching captured only 1.2 percent of no-link records, but Europe PMC exact-ID rescue added 39.6 points, lifting weighted any-match visibility to 40.8 percent. Non-MED rescue was much smaller at 2.8 points, while weighted external-publication-only visibility still reached 29.1 percent. Publication-link missingness therefore combines real silence with a much larger indexing and linkage gap than the PubMed-only audit suggested, especially in NIH-linked and network-linked no-link portfolios. The audit is sample-based, exact-ID only, and cannot adjudicate whether every retrieved paper fully reports the registered study or whether links were added later.

Weighted PubMed
1.2%
Exact-ID contribution
Weighted EPMC
39.6%
Rescue contribution
Industry sample
46.0%
External any-match
OTHER sample
37.3%
External any-match