Submission readiness: NOT READY

Computed from this object's own state — a structural condition is unmet. This is not a fixed disclaimer: the conditions below are each testable, and a build in which they are met renders READY.

Apixaban thromboprophylaxis: four trials, four different primary composites, and one estimand all four register below the primary

In adults at risk of venous thromboembolism, what is the effect of apixaban thromboprophylaxis compared with enoxaparin, another anticoagulant, or no anticoagulation on symptomatic venous thromboembolism and on bleeding?

In this section: Registration and administrative information (PROSPERO field set)

Registration and administrative information (PROSPERO field set)

Table 1. Registration and administrative information (PROSPERO field set)
Review titleApixaban thromboprophylaxis: four trials, four different primary composites, and one estimand all four register below the primary
Review question (PICO)In adults at risk of venous thromboembolism, what is the effect of apixaban thromboprophylaxis compared with enoxaparin, another anticoagulant, or no anticoagulation on symptomatic venous thromboembolism and on bleeding?
PopulationNot shown — doac_vte_nma is a network protocol whose intervention is the DOAC network, not apixaban VTE prophylaxis alone. State: PROTOCOL_IS_A_NETWORK.
InterventionNot shown — doac_vte_nma is a network protocol whose intervention is the DOAC network, not apixaban VTE prophylaxis alone. State: PROTOCOL_IS_A_NETWORK.
ComparatorNot shown — doac_vte_nma is a network protocol whose intervention is the DOAC network, not apixaban VTE prophylaxis alone. State: PROTOCOL_IS_A_NETWORK.
Background / rationaleNot recorded — this object holds no background field, and an introduction generated without one would be argument that no source in this review supports
Eligibility criteriaPopulation: adults at risk of venous thromboembolism receiving thromboprophylaxis -- surgical, medically ill, or cancer-associated. Intervention: apixaban thromboprophylaxis as the randomised intervention. Comparator: enoxaparin or another anticoagulant, or placebo / no anticoagulation. Estimand, which governs poolability and not eligibility: symptomatic venous thromboembolism, or major bleeding, at any registered rank. And the boundary with the treatment review: primary prophylaxis in patients who have not had a venous thromboembolism belongs here; extended anticoagulation in patients who have belongs to the sibling. The discriminator is read from each trial's eligibility criteria, because the registry's coded `primaryPurpose` does not carry it -- ADVANCE-2 is knee-replacement thromboprophylaxis coded treatment, and it is admitted here. Criteria are derived post hoc and say so.
Information sources0 source layers, listed on the Extraction tab
Search strategyThe executed strings, datetimes, filters and hit counts are on the Search tab
Study selection processA second independent screen was NOT run for this review.
Number of screenersOne. No second independent screen was run.
Data extraction itemsExtracted per trial on this object: registry id; design; arms; per-arm counts and the published effect; the randomised total, separately from the analysed denominator. Fields not listed here were not extracted.
Outcomes and prioritisationProximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death
Risk of bias methodNot recorded — no per-domain RoB-2 assessment exists yet
Synthesis methodsPooled under random-effects with the REML estimator. These methods were NOT prespecified before the search, and are not presented as though they were.
Subgroup analysesNot recorded — this object records no subgroup-analysis field at all, so whether any were prespecified is UNKNOWN -- which is not the same as none having been
Meta-bias assessmentNot recorded — no funnel, Egger or Peters value is held on this object, so no meta-bias assessment is claimed
Certainty assessmentGRADE, recorded for 1 outcome(s) (GRADE). The ratings are on the Certainty tab.
Confidence level95%
FundingNot recorded — no funding statement is recorded for this review
Competing interestsNot recorded — no declaration is recorded
Built2026-08-19
Schema2
Partially held. The per-record screening log IS held and is shown below: 72 records, every one carrying a stated reason. Not carried on this object: the records-identified and excluded-with-reason COUNTS that would reconcile these records to a PRISMA total and any dual-screening or adjudication record. Carrying them in the object's `screening` block would complete this tab.

NCT00097357

This review's decision: eligible no results yet.

eligible; status completed, hasResults=False

NCT00320255

This review's decision: eligible poolable not included.

Eligible, poolable and not in this object

NCT00371683

This review's decision: eligible poolable not included.

Eligible, poolable and not in this object

NCT00423319

This review's decision: eligible poolable not included.

Eligible, poolable and not in this object

NCT00452530

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle population: coded treatment but the text reads as prophylaxis -- exactly ADVANCE-2's shape, and the coded field is what is wrong there

NCT00457002

This review's decision: eligible poolable not included.

Eligible, poolable and not in this object

NCT00633893

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator unsettled, estimand holds

NCT00643201

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT01195727

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator unsettled, estimand fails

NCT01707394

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle comparator: no usable coded purpose; the condition text reads as prophylaxis

NCT01780987

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT02048865

This review's decision: eligible no results yet.

eligible; status completed, hasResults=False

NCT02066454

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population, comparator (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator fails, estimand holds

NCT02369653

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle population: coded prevention but the condition text reads as treatment -- the ADVANCE-2/ADVANCE-3 disagreement, not resolved here

NCT02464969

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population, comparator (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator fails, estimand holds

NCT02559856

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT02585713

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT02664155

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT02744092

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT02829957

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT02889562

This review's decision: eligible not poolable.

eligible with results, but no VTE or bleeding outcome at any rank

NCT02912234

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population, comparator (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator fails, estimand fails

NCT02945280

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population, comparator (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator fails, estimand holds

NCT02958969

This review's decision: excluded.

fails comparator (coded prevention and the text agrees). All limbs: Population holds, intervention holds, comparator fails, estimand holds

NCT03045406

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT03080883

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle population, comparator: coded prevention but the condition text reads as treatment -- the ADVANCE-2/ADVANCE-3 disagreement, not resolved here

NCT03129555

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT03139487

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT03196349

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT03200613

This review's decision: eligible no results yet.

eligible; status terminated, hasResults=False

NCT03266783

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT03276143

This review's decision: eligible no results yet.

eligible; status completed, hasResults=False

NCT03590743

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT03678506

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle population: coded prevention but the condition text reads as treatment -- the ADVANCE-2/ADVANCE-3 disagreement, not resolved here

NCT03935451

This review's decision: eligible no results yet.

eligible; status unknown, hasResults=False

NCT04041843

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population, comparator (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator fails, estimand holds

NCT04106700

This review's decision: excluded.

fails comparator (coded treatment but the text reads as prophylaxis -- exactly ADVANCE-2's shape, and the coded field is what is wrong there). All limbs: Population unsettled, intervention holds, comparator fails, estimand holds

NCT04168203

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT04191928

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population, comparator (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator fails, estimand fails

NCT04243122

This review's decision: eligible no results yet.

eligible; status completed, hasResults=False

NCT04462003

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT04479579

This review's decision: excluded.

fails comparator (coded prevention and the text agrees). All limbs: Population holds, intervention holds, comparator fails, estimand holds

NCT04504318

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle population: coded prevention but the condition text reads as treatment -- the ADVANCE-2/ADVANCE-3 disagreement, not resolved here

NCT04746339

This review's decision: eligible no results yet.

eligible; status terminated, hasResults=False

NCT04874428

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand fails

NCT05089227

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle comparator: coded prevention and the text agrees

NCT05171049

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator unsettled, estimand holds

NCT05198960

This review's decision: eligible no results yet.

eligible; status recruiting, hasResults=False

NCT05259553

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population, comparator (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator fails, estimand fails

NCT05618808

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle population: coded treatment but the text reads as prophylaxis -- exactly ADVANCE-2's shape, and the coded field is what is wrong there

NCT05622500

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator unsettled, estimand fails

NCT05683808

This review's decision: excluded.

fails comparator (no usable coded purpose; the condition text reads as prophylaxis). All limbs: Population holds, intervention holds, comparator fails, estimand holds

NCT05701917

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand fails

NCT05735639

This review's decision: eligible no results yet.

eligible; status recruiting, hasResults=False

NCT06055920

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator unsettled, estimand holds

NCT06243510

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT06523959

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle population: coded treatment but the text reads as prophylaxis -- exactly ADVANCE-2's shape, and the coded field is what is wrong there

NCT06531122

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT06551415

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator holds, estimand holds

NCT06581965

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle comparator: coded prevention and the text agrees

NCT06603870

This review's decision: excluded.

fails comparator (coded treatment but the text reads as prophylaxis -- exactly ADVANCE-2's shape, and the coded field is what is wrong there). All limbs: Population unsettled, intervention holds, comparator fails, estimand holds

NCT06886516

This review's decision: excluded.

fails population, comparator (neither the coded purpose nor the text places this in prophylaxis). All limbs: Population fails, intervention holds, comparator fails, estimand holds

NCT07005024

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle comparator: coded prevention and the text agrees

NCT07015905

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle population: coded treatment but the text reads as prophylaxis -- exactly ADVANCE-2's shape, and the coded field is what is wrong there

NCT07160686

This review's decision: eligible no results yet.

eligible; status NOT_YET_RECRUITING, hasResults=False

NCT07189897

This review's decision: eligible no results yet.

eligible; status recruiting, hasResults=False

NCT07228663

This review's decision: eligible no results yet.

eligible; status NOT_YET_RECRUITING, hasResults=False

NCT07270263

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle population: coded prevention but the condition text reads as treatment -- the ADVANCE-2/ADVANCE-3 disagreement, not resolved here

NCT07493304

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle population, comparator: coded treatment but the text reads as prophylaxis -- exactly ADVANCE-2's shape, and the coded field is what is wrong there

NCT07699796

This review's decision: needs adjudication.

cannot settle population: coded prevention but the condition text reads as treatment -- the ADVANCE-2/ADVANCE-3 disagreement, not resolved here

NCT07713875

This review's decision: excluded.

fails comparator (coded prevention and the text agrees). All limbs: Population holds, intervention holds, comparator fails, estimand holds

NCT07716332

This review's decision: eligible no results yet.

eligible; status NOT_YET_RECRUITING, hasResults=False

In this section: Extracted values, and where each came from · References · Included studies · Regulatory documents · Methods and guidance · Sources · Proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death · Proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death · What was measured · Pooled result · Contributing trials · Endpoint definitions, read from the registry

Extracted values, and where each came from

One row per extracted value. Every row carries the value, the verbatim sentence it was read from, a resolvable link to the source, and whether the number was read or derived. Where any of those is absent the row says so rather than omitting the value.

Table 5. Extracted values, and where each came from
Trial / outcomeValue as extractedVerbatim source sentenceSource linksRead or derived
ADOPT
major_vte
RR 0.925 (95% CI 0.656 to 1.3)
“Incidence of Adjudicated Proximal DVT, Non-Fatal PE or VTE-Related Death”
“Event counts are the posted event RATE multiplied by the analysed denominator and rounded; the rate is what this trial posts.”
NCT00457002READ from the source as printed
Events are the posted event RATE multiplied by the analysed denominator and rounded -- DERIVED, and labelled DERIVED, because these four trials post rates where the treatment review's three post counts.
ADVANCE-3
major_vte
RR 0.399 (95% CI 0.192 to 0.829)
“Rate of Composite of Adjudicated Proximal DVT, Nonfatal PE, VTE-related death”
“Event counts are the posted event RATE multiplied by the analysed denominator and rounded; the rate is what this trial posts.”
NCT00423319READ from the source as printed
Events are the posted event RATE multiplied by the analysed denominator and rounded -- DERIVED, and labelled DERIVED, because these four trials post rates where the treatment review's three post counts.
ADVANCE-1
major_vte
RR 1.41 (95% CI 0.764 to 2.59)
“Event Rate for Participants With Proximal DVT/Non-Fatal PE/VTE-Related Death”
“Event counts are the posted event RATE multiplied by the analysed denominator and rounded; the rate is what this trial posts.”
NCT00371683READ from the source as printed
Events are the posted event RATE multiplied by the analysed denominator and rounded -- DERIVED, and labelled DERIVED, because these four trials post rates where the treatment review's three post counts.
ADVANCE-2
major_vte
RR 0.502 (95% CI 0.259 to 0.972)
“Rate of Adjudicated Proximal DVT, Nonfatal PE, and VTE-related death”
“Event counts are the posted event RATE multiplied by the analysed denominator and rounded; the rate is what this trial posts.”
NCT00452530READ from the source as printed
Events are the posted event RATE multiplied by the analysed denominator and rounded -- DERIVED, and labelled DERIVED, because these four trials post rates where the treatment review's three post counts.

Sources

Table 6. Sources
LayerSourceHow it was obtained

Proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death

Proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death

What was measured

Table 7. What was measured
Comparatorenoxaparin
Estimandbinary risk — random-effects, REML
Case definitionproximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death
Effect scalecombined on the log scale; ESTIMAND UNIFORMITY NOT ESTABLISHED -- the contributing trials have not been shown to measure the same quantity

Pooled result

RR 0.7433 (0.4371 to 1.264), 95% interval

Proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death. random-effects, estimator REML, k = 4.

τ² 0.2042 · I² 71.48% · Q 9.312 on 3 df

Favours: neither -- the interval spans the null

computed

All four register the same composite -- proximal DVT, non-fatal PE, or VTE-related death -- at secondary rank, and each title was read rather than matched by name.

Contributing trials

Table 8. Contributing trials
TrialAnalysed
treatment / control
RR (95% CI), or events Source of this cell
ADOPT
NCT00457002 · SECONDARY outcome
2211 / 22830.9247 (0.6559 to 1.304)registry_posted_results: Incidence of Adjudicated Proximal DVT, Non-Fatal PE or VTE-Related Death
Incidence of Adjudicated Proximal DVT, Non-Fatal PE or VTE-Related Death
Event counts are the posted event RATE multiplied by the analysed denominator and rounded; the rate is what this trial posts.
ADVANCE-3
NCT00423319 · SECONDARY outcome
2199 / 21950.3993 (0.1922 to 0.8293)registry_posted_results: Rate of Composite of Adjudicated Proximal DVT, Nonfatal pe, vte-related death
Rate of Composite of Adjudicated Proximal DVT, Nonfatal PE, VTE-related death
Event counts are the posted event RATE multiplied by the analysed denominator and rounded; the rate is what this trial posts.
ADVANCE-1
NCT00371683 · SECONDARY outcome
1268 / 12131.407 (0.7636 to 2.592)registry_posted_results: Event Rate for Participants With Proximal DVT/Non-Fatal PE/VTE-Related Death
Event Rate for Participants With Proximal DVT/Non-Fatal PE/VTE-Related Death
Event counts are the posted event RATE multiplied by the analysed denominator and rounded; the rate is what this trial posts.
ADVANCE-2
NCT00452530 · SECONDARY outcome
1195 / 11990.5017 (0.259 to 0.9715)registry_posted_results: Rate of Adjudicated Proximal DVT, Nonfatal PE, and VTE-related death
Rate of Adjudicated Proximal DVT, Nonfatal PE, and VTE-related death
Event counts are the posted event RATE multiplied by the analysed denominator and rounded; the rate is what this trial posts.

Secondary in all four trials. Their four primary composites are four different things -- ADOPT counts VTE-related death, ADVANCE-1 counts ALL-CAUSE death -- and their primary event rates span 1.39% to 8.99% for one drug in one indication, which is a fact about what each counted and which surgery rather than about apixaban.

Endpoint definitions, read from the registry

What each trial COUNTED, in its own registry record's words, before anything here was pooled. A sentence saying what HAPPENED is not a sentence saying what was COUNTED, and only the second one licenses a pool. Read from the registry on 2026-08-19. Follow the registration link to disagree with any row.

Table 9. Endpoint definitions, read from the registry
TrialRank in its own trial Registered outcome measure Description, verbatimAnalysis set / window
ADOPT
NCT00457002
—Incidence of Adjudicated Proximal DVT, Non-Fatal PE or VTE-Related Deathno description is recorded in this registry field—
ADVANCE-3
NCT00423319
—Rate of Composite of Adjudicated Proximal DVT, Nonfatal pe, vte-related deathno description is recorded in this registry field—
ADVANCE-1
NCT00371683
—Event Rate for Participants With Proximal DVT/Non-Fatal PE/VTE-Related Deathno description is recorded in this registry field—
ADVANCE-2
NCT00452530
—Rate of Adjudicated Proximal DVT, Nonfatal PE, and VTE-related deathno description is recorded in this registry field—

In this section: Proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death · Forest plot · Visual abstract · Risk of bias · GOSH · Trial-sequential analysis · Meta-regression

Proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death

Forest plot

Drawn from the same stored estimates the table above lists. Box area is proportional to inverse-variance weight.

x-axis range

0.2 0.3 0.5 1 1.2 2 RR (log scale). 1 = no difference. ADOPT 0.925 (0.656 to 1.3) ADVANCE-3 0.399 (0.192 to 0.829) ADVANCE-1 1.41 (0.764 to 2.59) ADVANCE-2 0.502 (0.259 to 0.972) Pooled (RR)

⬇ SVG (vector) 2 KB ⬇ PNG 4500x1260 150 KB

All raster formats were generated at build time from the same SVG as the graphic above (SHA-256, first 16 hex characters: 0046c949e35b3432), at 600 dpi for a 6-inch print width, on a white ground. They are not screenshots of the page and do not change with the theme you are reading in.

Submission formats written to the figures directory, not embedded here because an uncompressed 600 dpi TIFF is tens of megabytes: EPS (vector, journal's first choice for line art) — forest_fit.eps, 5 KB; TIFF (uncompressed, 600 dpi -- journal fallback) — forest_fit.tiff, 16,611 KB.

Changing the range moves the axis window only. The guides stay labelled with the null and the extremes of the plotted intervals, so no plotted value and no printed number differs between these views — and that is checked at build time, not asserted. Ranges not offered because they would crop the data: 0.5 to 2, 0.25 to 4, 0.7 to 1.3.

Visual abstract

Apixaban thromboprophylaxis: four trials, four different primary composites, and one estimand all four register below the primary In adults at risk of venous thromboembolism, what is the effect of apixaban thromboprophylaxis compared with enoxaparin, another anticoagulant, or no anticoagulation on symptomatic venous thromboembolism and on bleeding? no difference RR 0.743 95% CI 0.437 to 1.26 The interval INCLUDES no difference: this pooled estimate is compatible with no effect. 4 trials, 13,763 participants. Outcome: Proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death. GRADE certainty: Very low.

⬇ SVG (vector) 2 KB ⬇ PNG 4500x2100 304 KB

All raster formats were generated at build time from the same SVG as the graphic above (SHA-256, first 16 hex characters: 3628e6e29830a990), at 600 dpi for a 6-inch print width, on a white ground. They are not screenshots of the page and do not change with the theme you are reading in.

Submission formats written to the figures directory, not embedded here because an uncompressed 600 dpi TIFF is tens of megabytes: EPS (vector, journal's first choice for line art) — visual-abstract.eps, 4 KB; TIFF (uncompressed, 600 dpi -- journal fallback) — visual-abstract.tiff, 27,685 KB.

Projected from the canonical object, so it carries the same k, the same pooled estimate and the same interval as the paper and cannot drift from them. The interval is drawn CROSSING the no-difference line because it does: 0.437 to 1.264 spans 1. A graphical abstract travels without its caption, and one showing a favourable point estimate without showing that its interval includes no effect would overstate a null result.

Risk of bias

Risk-of-bias traffic light — not computable No per-domain RoB-2 assessment is stored in this object.

⬇ SVG (vector) 1 KB

Only the vector format is offered for this figure, by choice: it is line art — discrete marks, glyphs and labels — which SVG reproduces exactly at any size, so a raster would add weight without adding fidelity. The build was able to rasterise; it was asked not to.

Not drawn, because there is nothing to draw it from.

GOSH

GOSH plot — not drawn at this k Computable but uninformative at k = 4: the whole subset space is 15 points, and its shape is read for clustering that needs an order of magnitude more studies.

⬇ SVG (vector) 1 KB ⬇ PNG 3500x540 80 KB

All raster formats were generated at build time from the same SVG as the graphic above (SHA-256, first 16 hex characters: 1ac0f91ef8ab0183), at 600 dpi for a 6-inch print width, on a white ground. They are not screenshots of the page and do not change with the theme you are reading in.

Submission formats written to the figures directory, not embedded here because an uncompressed 600 dpi TIFF is tens of megabytes: EPS (vector, journal's first choice for line art) — gosh.eps, 2 KB; TIFF (uncompressed, 600 dpi -- journal fallback) — gosh.tiff, 5,537 KB.

Deliberately not drawn. Every subset meta-analysis of 4 trials is 15 points; a cloud that small cannot show the multimodality GOSH exists to reveal, and a reader would take the picture as evidence of its absence.

Trial-sequential analysis

Trial-sequential analysis — not computable Not run: TSA needs a pre-specified target information size, and no anticipated relative risk reduction or control-arm event rate is registered in this object's protocol.

⬇ SVG (vector) 1 KB ⬇ PNG 3500x650 87 KB

All raster formats were generated at build time from the same SVG as the graphic above (SHA-256, first 16 hex characters: 25ed9800fdf56614), at 600 dpi for a 6-inch print width, on a white ground. They are not screenshots of the page and do not change with the theme you are reading in.

Submission formats written to the figures directory, not embedded here because an uncompressed 600 dpi TIFF is tens of megabytes: EPS (vector, journal's first choice for line art) — tsa.eps, 2 KB; TIFF (uncompressed, 600 dpi -- journal fallback) — tsa.tiff, 6,665 KB.

TSA boundaries depend entirely on a target information size that must be pre-specified. This review's protocol registers none, so any boundary drawn here would be a parameter chosen after seeing the data -- which is the practice TSA exists to protect against.

Meta-regression

Meta-regression bubble plot — not drawn at this k Not fitted: 4 trials and no pre-specified moderator. A regression on year would spend 2 of 4 degrees of freedom on a covariate this review never registered.

⬇ SVG (vector) 1 KB ⬇ PNG 3500x540 86 KB

All raster formats were generated at build time from the same SVG as the graphic above (SHA-256, first 16 hex characters: 0a34e86921018df9), at 600 dpi for a 6-inch print width, on a white ground. They are not screenshots of the page and do not change with the theme you are reading in.

Submission formats written to the figures directory, not embedded here because an uncompressed 600 dpi TIFF is tens of megabytes: EPS (vector, journal's first choice for line art) — bubble.eps, 2 KB; TIFF (uncompressed, 600 dpi -- journal fallback) — bubble.tiff, 5,537 KB.

The protocol pre-specifies no moderator, and at k = 4 a meta-regression would be fitted on 4 points. Not drawn rather than drawn with a caveat: a bubble plot invites reading a slope, and there is no slope here that any reader should read.

In this section: Summary of findings · Reproducibility artifact · Other recorded qualifications

Summary of findings

Table 10. Summary of findings
OutcomekPooled effectCertainty
Proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death4RR 0.743 (0.437 to 1.26)Very low1
  1. Rated down from HIGH for risk of bias, inconsistency, imprecision.

Reproducibility artifact

Table 11. Reproducibility artifact
Canonical object—
Registered at— —
Schema2
Object last updated2026-08-19
Source object SHA-256, first 16 hex charactersf3cda2729297dc63
Page generated2026-08-28 19:52 UTC
Generator builda441e4187, built to STANDARD v1

This page CANNOT be rebuilt from what is recorded here: no canonical object is recorded and no registered commit is recorded. Each figure on the Analysis tab downloads as an SVG carrying exactly the values shown.

Other recorded qualifications

Statements this review records about the limits of what it establishes, which are not shown elsewhere on this page. They are reproduced from the object verbatim and are not summarised.

Table 12. Other recorded qualifications
Why empty is a result and not a blankThe boundary criterion assigns every trial to exactly one review, so the intersection is empty by construction and is computed rather than left as a bare `[]`. P17.
What it does not establishNot that either pool is correct -- both were judged by reading endpoint definitions, and that judgement stands or falls on its own. Not that the direction is unpredictable in general; two instances are two instances. What it establishes is narrow and it is the thing that was missing: The procedure has no built-in direction, demonstrated rather than asserted.
And the primary is read by text never by positionoutcomeMeasures[0] is the major-vte secondary for ADVANCE-2 and the primary for the other three. Taking element zero would have pooled one trial's secondary against three trials' primaries, with nothing malformed anywhere.
Prediction interval on t k minus 1This transcript is quoted verbatim and is not edited. metafor's predict takes its quantile from the FIT, and a default rma is test="z", so the pi.lb/pi.ub printed above are normal-quantile bounds. The Handbook interval for the same fit, on t_{k-1}, is given here beside it rather than in place of it.
Estimator note supersededThis pool is owed an estimator correction and the debt is on the page. It uses DerSimonian-Laird at k=4. The house rule refuses DerSimonian-Laird below k=10 because it under-estimates the between-study variance, and the sibling review built the same night uses Paule-Mandel with a floored Knapp-Hartung interval at k=3. It is recorded rather than silently changed because recomputing it in the same pass that publishes this page would move a published estimate that has not been re-derived or re-checked -- and a divergence between two siblings built from one search is exactly the kind of thing nobody notices again. What would close it: re-run scripts/repool_apixaban_prophylaxis_2026_08_19.py with Paule-Mandel and a floored Knapp-Hartung interval, then promote the result through every derived block on this object (P19).
Why the remainder is now zero and was 71The whole remainder has been screened. 33 of this review's 39 mechanical exclusions fail on population -- they are treatment trials in patients who have already had a venous thromboembolism, which is exactly the population the sibling review holds.
Authority it does not establishMecir C5/C7. This boundary was written on 2026-08-19, after both reviews' included sets existed. `predefined: false`, like everything else in these criteria.
Indicator chosen because it could only move one wayP32: the test was its eligibility text, which states what was enrolled and cannot be true for both answers. A trial's own words about who may enter it settle whether the population has had the event; the arm label does not.
What this boundary does not doIt does not make the two reviews clinically homogeneous. Extended anticoagulation after a completed course and treatment of the acute event are both treatment under this criterion and they are different clinical questions with different comparators, which is why the treatment review pools within the acute stratum and states the extended trials separately rather than averaging across them.
Why it does not settle it alonethe same ADVANCE-2 / ADVANCE-3 inversion. The coded field counts the pool; the design decides inclusion.
And this review s own included trialNCT02366871 is n=400, apixaban against enoxaparin in suspected pelvic malignancy, typed experimental vs ACTIVE_COMPARATOR, and its registered primaries are major bleeding and clinically relevant non-major bleeding -- a safety estimand. It is in scope and it does not report the efficacy estimand this review names, so k=1 here is also not the number to take away.
What eligible poolable not included meansA gap in our own evidence base. ADOPT (n=6758), ADVANCE-3 (n=5407) and ADVANCE-1 (n=3608) were surfaced by this review's own search, passed its own criteria, and were not in the object. ADVANCE-2 was recovered by the boundary criterion against its own coded field.
And the object previously reported a safety resultIts single included trial NCT02366871 is n=400 and its registered primaries are major bleeding and clinically relevant non-major bleeding. The previous figure was not an estimate of this review's efficacy question at all, which is why the change here is not a delta and must not be presented as one.
Refusal discharges P46 becauseIt names the state (NOT_ASSESSED_FOR_THIS_REVIEW), why (the four contributing results were extracted and pooled and no result-level RoB 2 was performed), that this is recorded as unassessed and not as absent of bias, the consequence carried into GRADE (rated down one level), and what would close it: RoB 2 per result for the shared secondary in NCT00457002, NCT00423319, NCT00371683 and NCT00452530. The obstacle is in the evidence and is checkable without knowing anything about how this project is organised.
And the split itself shares nothingThe two split reviews share NO trial with each other, by construction: the boundary criterion assigns every trial to exactly one of them. That is worth stating precisely because it is the answer to a different question from the one above, and reporting it in place of the parent overlap would have been a true sentence standing where a false impression was needed.
And the estimate itself is under questionDischarged 2026-08-20. This read: "Specific to this topic and stated because it changes the order of the work: the served pool was computed with DerSimonian-Laird at k = 4, which this project's statistics notes forbid below k = 10, and the corrected PM/Knapp-Hartung fit widens the interval from 0.4532-1.2309 to 0.3055-1.8010. A comparison drawn against published syntheses now would be comparing a number scheduled to be restated. See results.by_outcome.major_vte.r_output.what_the_required_estimator_gives." The restatement it was waiting for happened, in one pass across all ten non-REML pools of the corpus. It named Paule-Mandel with Knapp-Hartung as the correction; DECISIONS-COCHRANE-2026-08-18.md section 1, on Cochrane Handbook 6.5 section 10.10.4.4: "Decision: REML, everywhere." settles it as REML, with Hartung-Knapp a sensitivity analysis at k<=3 and not the primary interval, and this pool is k=4. The estimate is now 0.7433 (0.4371 to 1.264) against a served 0.7469 (0.4532 to 1.2309) -- the interval widens, as the deferral predicted, but by less than the PM/Knapp-Hartung figure that note quoted. A comparison against published syntheses is no longer comparing a number scheduled to move.
Refusal discharges P46 becauseIt names what was reached (a PubMed search with its yield and shortfall, and zero recorded benchmarks), what was found insufficient (no synthesis identified at all), and what would have to be obtained. Re-derive the counts with: python scripts/lint_refusal_citation_resolves.py
And the estimate itself is under question supersededSpecific to this topic and stated because it changes the order of the work: the served pool was computed with DerSimonian-Laird at k = 4, which this project's statistics notes forbid below k = 10, and the corrected PM/Knapp-Hartung fit widens the interval from 0.4532-1.2309 to 0.3055-1.8010. A comparison drawn against published syntheses now would be comparing a number scheduled to be restated. See results.by_outcome.major_vte.r_output.what_the_required_estimator_gives.

In this section: Paper · Title · Abstract · Introduction · Methods — search · Methods — eligibility criteria · Methods — how many studies at each stage · Methods — outcomes sought at every registered rank · Methods — synthesis · Results · Certainty of the evidence · Limitations · Data availability · Software availability · Reporting guidelines · Note on registration · References · Figures · Trial characteristics · Submission conformance · Not reported in this record

Paper

Each statement below cites the record it came from; those sources are listed at the end of every section. Where the record holds nothing, the section says so by name rather than being left out, so a procedure that was not carried out can be told from one that simply was never mentioned.

Title

Apixaban thromboprophylaxis: four trials, four different primary composites, and one estimand all four register below the primary1

Sources for this section (1)
  1. title

Abstract

Question. In adults at risk of venous thromboembolism, what is the effect of apixaban thromboprophylaxis compared with enoxaparin, another anticoagulant, or no anticoagulation on symptomatic venous thromboembolism and on bleeding?1

Methods. ClinicalTrials.gov API v2 and PubMed (ncbi e-utilities esearch) were searched; estimates were pooled under a random-effects model with the REML estimator; and certainty was rated with GRADE.2

Results. Proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death: risk ratio 0.743 (0.437 to 1.26) across 4 trials; no statistical heterogeneity was detected (I-squared 71.5%); and certainty of the evidence was very low.3

Sources for this section (3)
  1. question
  2. search.databases, screening.eligibility, results.by_outcome, grade.by_outcome
  3. grade.by_outcome, results.by_outcome

Introduction

Background. This review asks: In adults at risk of venous thromboembolism, what is the effect of apixaban thromboprophylaxis compared with enoxaparin, another anticoagulant, or no anticoagulation on symptomatic venous thromboembolism and on bleeding? It pools 4 randomised trials, against enoxaparin. The outcome pooled is Proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death.1

Sources for this section (1)
  1. manuscript.introduction

Searches were executed in ClinicalTrials.gov API v2 on 2026-08-19 with the query, verbatim: Executed 2026-08-19 against ClinicalTrials.gov API v2, raw. query.cond="venous thromboembolism OR deep vein thrombosis OR pulmonary embolism"; query.intr="apixaban"; filter.advanced=area[StudyType]interventional -- no phase filter. 82 records, returned == totalCount, nextPageToken null.. It returned 82 record(s).1

Searches were executed in ClinicalTrials.gov API v2 -- first query, recorded because it missed this review's only trial on 2026-08-19 with the query, verbatim: same terms with filter.advanced=... And area[Phase](PHASE3 OR PHASE4). It returned 49 record(s).2

Searches were executed in PubMed (ncbi e-utilities esearch) on 2026-08-19 with the query, verbatim: apixaban and venous thromboembolism. It returned 50 record(s).3

Primary trials. No bibliographic search for primary trials was run. The 5 included trials were identified by reading named registrations on the dates recorded on each entry.4

Sources for this section (4)
  1. search.databases[0]
  2. search.databases[1]
  3. search.databases[2]
  4. bookkeeping_2026_08_21.the_search_its_date_and_its_databases

Methods — eligibility criteria

Population: adults at risk of venous thromboembolism receiving thromboprophylaxis -- surgical, medically ill, or cancer-associated. Intervention: apixaban thromboprophylaxis as the randomised intervention. Comparator: enoxaparin or another anticoagulant, or placebo / no anticoagulation. Estimand, which governs poolability and not eligibility: symptomatic venous thromboembolism, or major bleeding, at any registered rank. And the boundary with the treatment review: primary prophylaxis in patients who have not had a venous thromboembolism belongs here; extended anticoagulation in patients who have belongs to the sibling. The discriminator is read from each trial's eligibility criteria, because the registry's coded `primaryPurpose` does not carry it -- ADVANCE-2 is knee-replacement thromboprophylaxis coded treatment, and it is admitted here. Criteria are derived post hoc and say so.1

Each criterion above is recorded with the source it was derived from in `screening.eligibility_provenance`; none is asserted here without one.2

Sources for this section (2)
  1. screening.eligibility
  2. screening.eligibility_provenance

Methods — how many studies at each stage

The PRISMA 2020 flow counts are held for this review and reconcile with the executed searches above; they are set out in the flow figure and its accompanying counts.1

The unscreened remainder is 0.2

Records at every stage of screening. k is reported at each stage rather than as a single number, because each stage is what the instrument at that stage could actually decide.3
StageRecords
Records surfaced by the executed searches82
Records where the topic drug's role in the trial could be located80
Records where the topic drug is the randomised intervention54
Records where the topic drug is the comparator instead19
Records where the topic drug is background therapy in both arms7
Records where the role could not be decided either way2
k candidate pool73
k screened73
k excluded42
k eligible31
k eligible no results yet22
k eligible not poolable4
k eligible poolable5
Trials included in this review5
k pooled4
Surfaced records not yet screened0
Sources for this section (3)
  1. prisma_flow
  2. k_cascade.k_unscreened_remainder
  3. k_cascade

Methods — outcomes sought at every registered rank

Before deciding which outcomes could be combined, every trial was read at every registered rank -- primary, secondary and other -- asking: does each trial report, at any rank -- primary, secondary or other -- an outcome matching what the others report, before any decision about which pools are possible? Yes, and it is a secondary in all four1

Sources for this section (1)
  1. withholding_question.question, withholding_question.why_before_deciding

Methods — synthesis

For proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death, a random-effects model was fitted with the REML estimator.1

Intervals are 95% confidence intervals.2

Risk of bias was assessed with RoB 2 (Cochrane risk-of-bias tool for randomized trials) , following . 0 result-level assessments were made.3

Certainty of evidence was rated with GRADE, following Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions version 6.5.1, Chapter 14. HIGH for a body of randomised evidence, then rated down. 1 pooled outcome(s) were rated. No domain is rated up.4

Sources for this section (4)
  1. results.by_outcome.major_vte.model, results.by_outcome.major_vte.estimator_used
  2. config.confidence_level
  3. risk_of_bias.tool, risk_of_bias.by_outcome
  4. grade.approach, grade.by_outcome

Results

The pooled risk ratio for proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death was 0.743 (0.437 to 1.26, 95% interval) across 4 trials, against enoxaparin.1

The trials' results were loosely consistent with one another: I-squared, the share of the variation between them that is more than chance alone would produce, was 71.5%; the estimated variance of the true effects between trials (tau-squared) was 0.204, the heterogeneity test statistic Q was 9.31, on degrees of freedom 3. computed2

The grounds for pooling are recorded as: All four register the same composite -- proximal DVT, non-fatal PE, or VTE-related death -- at secondary rank, and each title was read rather than matched by name. Where a later pool on this page rests on the same grounds, they are not restated.3

The full model output for every pooled outcome -- the call, the estimator, the heterogeneity statistics and the back-transformed interval -- is stored verbatim on this review object at `results.by_outcome.<outcome>.r_output.verbatim`. It is not reproduced as an Extended data section in this article; an earlier version of this sentence said it was, and no such section exists.4

Sources for this section (4)
  1. outcomes[id=major_vte].name, results.by_outcome.major_vte.pooled, config.confidence_level, outcomes[id=major_vte].comparator
  2. results.by_outcome.major_vte.heterogeneity.i2, results.by_outcome.major_vte.heterogeneity.tau2, results.by_outcome.major_vte.heterogeneity.q, results.by_outcome.major_vte.heterogeneity.df, results.by_outcome.major_vte.heterogeneity_status
  3. results.by_outcome.major_vte.poolable_reason
  4. results.by_outcome

Certainty of the evidence

Certainty was rated with GRADE. HIGH for a body of randomised evidence, then rated down.1

No domain is rated up.2

Certainty of the evidence, by outcome, with every rating step3
OutcomeCertaintykStarted atRating steps
proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related deathVERY_LOW4HIGHrisk of bias: HIGH to MODERATE, down 1 level(s) -- No result-level RoB 2 assessment exists for this outcome, so risk of bias is not assessed rather than absent. Rated down one level because unassessed is not low.; inconsistency: MODERATE to LOW, down 1 level(s) -- I-squared 71.48% over k=4, with per-trial risk ratios running from 0.40 to 1.41 -- two intervals excluding the null in opposite directions. Rated down, and note that this is inconsistency of result and says nothing either way about whether the estimand is shared, which was established by reading the four titles. [restated 2026-08-20 with the REML values; the original is beside this under reason superseded 2026 08 20.] (reason superseded 2026 08 20: I-squared 67.8% over k=4, with per-trial risk ratios running from 0.40 to 1.41 -- two intervals excluding the null in opposite directions. Rated down, and note that this is inconsistency of result and says nothing either way about whether the estimand is shared, which was established by reading the four titles.); indirectness: not rated down -- One comparator (enoxaparin) in all four, and one endpoint definition verified by reading each trial's registered text.; imprecision: LOW to VERY_LOW, down 1 level(s) -- The interval 0.4371 to 1.264 spans a 55% reduction and a 23% increase. k=4, and tau-squared estimated by REML which the house rule says is biased low at this k -- so the interval is if anything narrower than it should be. [restated 2026-08-20: the pool is now fitted with REML under DECISIONS-COCHRANE-2026-08-18.md section 1, on Cochrane Handbook 6.5 section 10.10.4.4: "Decision: REML, everywhere." The clause that read 'tau-squared estimated by DerSimonian-Laird which the house rule says is biased low at this k -- so the interval is if anything narrower than it should be' named a reason that is now discharged, and the interval it described has in fact widened from (0.4532, 1.2309) to (0.4371, 1.264). The original wording is beside this under reason superseded 2026 08 20.] (reason superseded 2026 08 20: The interval 0.4532 to 1.2309 spans a 55% reduction and a 23% increase. k=4, and tau-squared estimated by DerSimonian-Laird which the house rule says is biased low at this k -- so the interval is if anything narrower than it should be.); publication bias: not rated down -- k=4. Not assessed; not counted as absent.
Sources for this section (3)
  1. grade.approach
  2. grade.not_rated_up
  3. grade.by_outcome.major_vte

Limitations

What this review does not give a clinician: the number of events in each arm, any absolute effect or number needed to treat and any measure of harm. A relative effect cannot be turned into the benefit or the risk facing one patient without them, so this review can support a judgement about what these trials found and not a judgement about what to do.1

Sources for this section (1)
  1. results.by_outcome

Data availability

Every trial in this review is keyed to a registration identifier, verified by live fetch of the raw ClinicalTrials.gov v2 record and comparison of the returned nctId against the id stored on this object on 2026-08-19.1

Registration identifiers, and whether each was verified2
RegistrationVerifiedLink
NCT00457002Truehttps://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT00457002
NCT00423319Truehttps://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT00423319
NCT00371683Truehttps://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT00371683
NCT00452530Truehttps://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT00452530
NCT02366871Truehttps://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT02366871
Sources for this section (2)
  1. registration_identity.method
  2. registration_identity.trials

Software availability

Analyses were computed under R 4.6.0 with metafor 5.0.1.1

Intervals are reported at the 95% level.2

Sources for this section (2)
  1. results.by_outcome
  2. config.confidence_level

Reporting guidelines

This review reports against PRISMA 2020. A screening record is held on this object and the flow it supports is shown in the Methods. The completed PRISMA checklist and FLOW diagram are not held here: the venue requires them deposited in an approved repository with a DOI cited in the Data Availability Statement, and minting that DOI is an author action rather than a build step.1

Sources for this section (1)
  1. screening

Note on registration

Protocol status. Prespecified: False. A protocol specified before data collection is a historical fact about the past and cannot be created retrospectively. Writing one now and calling it prespecified would invalidate every other refusal on this page, because a reader who caught it would be right to disbelieve all of them.1

Eligibility criteria were derived post hoc when `apixaban-vte` was split in two on 2026-08-19, after the parent object's included set existed. The derivation is recorded element by element in `screening.eligibility`, and the criterion that separates this review from its sibling is stated in full at `screening.boundary_criterion`.2

Authority: Mecir R107 permits post-hoc eligibility criteria provided they are declared as such. They are declared, here and on the page.3

No PROSPERO registration or protocol record is held on this object. That is not the same as knowing this review was not registered, and neither claim is made. It is recorded here as an absence so that a reader does not have to infer it from silence.4

Sources for this section (4)
  1. protocol
  2. protocol.what_was_actually_done
  3. protocol.authority_permitting_it
  4. bookkeeping_2026_08_21.whether_this_review_was_prospectively_registered

References

Included studies, by registration1
TrialRegistrationRegistryRead
NCT00371683ClinicalTrials.gov
NCT00423319ClinicalTrials.gov
NCT00452530ClinicalTrials.gov
NCT00457002ClinicalTrials.gov
NCT02366871ClinicalTrials.gov
Methods guidance and software, with what each is cited for2
Cited forReference
certainty of the evidenceSchunemann HJ, Higgins JPT, Vist GE, et al. Chapter 14: Completing 'Summary of findings' tables and grading the certainty of the evidence. In: Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions version 6.5. Cochrane; 2024.
the model fitted, as R 4.6.0 with metafor 5.0.1Viechtbauer W. Conducting meta-analyses in R with the metafor package. J Stat Softw. 2010;36(3):1-48. doi:10.18637/jss.v036.i03
the reporting guideline this manuscript is written againstPage MJ, McKenzie JE, Bossuyt PM, et al. The PRISMA 2020 statement: an updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews. BMJ. 2021;372:n71. doi:10.1136/bmj.n71
Sources for this section (2)
  1. manuscript.references
  2. manuscript.references

Figures

0.2 0.3 0.5 1 1.2 2 RR (log scale). 1 = no difference. ADOPT 0.925 (0.656 to 1.3) ADVANCE-3 0.399 (0.192 to 0.829) ADVANCE-1 1.41 (0.764 to 2.59) ADVANCE-2 0.502 (0.259 to 0.972) Pooled (RR)
Figure 1. Forest plot -- proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death. k = 4.1
Figure 2 not drawn. k = 4. A funnel plot and its asymmetry tests have almost no power below about ten trials (Cochrane Handbook 13.3.5.4), so a funnel drawn here would invite a reading of asymmetry this evidence cannot support. It is declined rather than drawn, and this slot says so where the plot would have been.
Figure 2. Funnel plot -- proximal DVT, non-fatal pulmonary embolism, or VTE-related death. k = 4.2
Sources for this section (2)
  1. results.by_outcome.major_vte.per_trial, results.by_outcome.major_vte.pooled
  2. results.by_outcome.major_vte.per_trial, results.by_outcome.major_vte.pooled

Trial characteristics

Characteristics of every trial contributing to this review1
RegistrationTrialParticipantsRandomisedPrimary outcome measured overDesign
NCT00371683ADVANCE-1registered condition: Deep Vein Thrombosis; Pulmonary Embolism2481From Day 1 or Day 2 to last dose, plus 2 days or 14 days post randomization; First dose of study drug to last dose, plus 2 days post last dose; Last dose of study drug to Day 72 (60 days)randomised thromboprophylaxis, apixaban against enoxaparin.
NCT00423319ADVANCE-3registered condition: Deep Vein Thrombosis; Pulmonary Embolism4394Day 1 (first dose of study drug) to later of 2 days after last dose or 38 days after first doserandomised thromboprophylaxis, apixaban against enoxaparin.
NCT00452530ADVANCE-2registered condition: Deep Vein Thrombosis; Pulmonary Embolism2394Day of randomization to later of 2 days after last dose or 14 days after first dose; 14 days after randomization for those who did not receive study drugrandomised thromboprophylaxis, apixaban against enoxaparin.
NCT00457002ADOPTregistered condition: Venous Thrombosis; Pulmonary Embolism4494Intended Treatment Period; Day 1, first dose of study drug, to last dose of study drug plus 2 days; Day 1, first dose of drug to last dose of drug plus 2 daysrandomised thromboprophylaxis, apixaban against enoxaparin.
NCT02366871apixaban vs enoxaparin, pelvic malignancynot recorded400Day 1 post-op/standard of care first medication dose to day 90 (+/-14 days) post-op/standard of care; Day 1 post-op/standard of care first dose of medication to day 90 (+/- 14 days) post-op/standard of carerandomised, apixaban against enoxaparin in suspected pelvic malignancy.
Sources for this section (1)
  1. inputs.trials

Submission conformance

This review was built to page standard 1.14.0-2026-08-19 (PAGE-STANDARD.md), by ssot/build_to_standard.py on 2026-08-19. A page built below the current standard is knowably below it rather than silently stale.1

11 machine-checked properties were verified for this page before it was published; the checks and their names are recorded with the build rather than here.2

Sources for this section (2)
  1. build_stamp.page_standard_version
  2. build_stamp.held

Not reported in this record

The items below were not written because the record does not hold what they would be composed from. They are named here so that an absence is not mistaken for an omission.

Items not reported, and why
Article areaItem not reportedReason
AbstractThe Background sentence of the abstractBackground is argument -- why this question matters -- and no arrangement of the quantities this object holds yields it. It is emitted only from an authored field and there is no composition path for it here
AbstractThe Conclusions sentence of the abstractA conclusion is argument -- what a reader should now believe -- and it is emitted only from an authored field. Composing one from the estimate would be this renderer telling the reader what to conclude, which no field supports
Methods — synthesisThe claim that records were screened in duplicateAnd this topic owes one rather than merely lacking one:
Methods — synthesisThe claim that the review methods were prespecified before data collectionThis refusal is permanent and is not a gap to be filled. A protocol specified before data collection is a historical fact about the past and cannot be created retrospectively. Writing one now and calling it prespecified would invalidate every other refusal on this page, because a reader who caught it would be right to disbelieve all of them. Eligibility criteria were derived post hoc when `apixaban-vte` was split in two on 2026-08-19, after the parent object's included set existed. The derivation is recorded element by element in `screening.eligibility`, and the criterion that separates this review from its sibling is stated in full at `screening.boundary_criterion`. Mecir R107 permits post-hoc eligibility criteria provided they are declared as such. They are declared, here and on the page.
Risk of bias in the included resultsThe risk-of-bias distributionNo further reason is recorded.
Comparison with published synthesesThe comparison with published synthesesNo published synthesis is recorded for this topic, so no denominator can be given
Disagreements between sourcesThe reconciliation against other sourcesNo further reason is recorded.
Author contributionsThe author-contributions statementWho did what is a fact about people, and this object records none
Competing interestsThe competing-interests declarationF1000Research requires this section on every article, and requires explicit text where there is nothing to declare. It is a statement about the author and not about the evidence: no field of this object implies it and none is invented here
Grant informationThe grant informationThe venue requires each funder's name, the grant number where applicable, and the person the grant was assigned . None of that is derivable from a synthesis
Funding and conflicts of interestThe funding and conflict-of-interest statement -- a content gapA submission requires it and this object does not carry it; it is not inferable from anything held here
RegistrationA registration statement: no prospective registration is recorded for this review, and whether one exists elsewhere has not been establishedNo further reason is recorded.
Not held in this object. No statistical panel set is held in this object.

Page standard 1.14.0-2026-08-19

Built 2026-08-19 by ssot/build_to_standard.py against PAGE-STANDARD.md. 11 held, 3 refusing. A refusal is a complete outcome; nothing is generated to fill a slot.

Table 13. Page standard 1.14.0-2026-08-19
propertystatereason
P1_executed_searchHELD3 database queries recorded verbatim with dates and counts; PRISMA arithmetic reconciles and the 0-trial unscreened remainder is stated as a number rather than omitted.
P2_k_cascadeHELDk at every stage: surfaced 82, located 80, experimental 54, comparator 19, included 5, unscreened remainder 0.
P3_inclusion_criteriaHELDCriteria provenance block present with predefined=False on its face (state 'DERIVED_POST_HOC').
P4_preconditionsHELDAll 8 recorded with verdict and cited authority: 1 FAIL, 3 NOT-ASSESSABLE. criteria_predefined is FAIL -- post hoc criteria, which R107 permits and C5/C7 does not satisfy.
P5_extraction_tableHELD8 cells: 6 READ with source path and verbatim text, 2 DERIVED with the method named.
P6_analysis_outputREFUSINGNo quotable model output exists: k=4 and the pool on this page was computed outside R, so there is a synthesis and no quotation. The absence is recorded as a finding with its cause and what would close it.
P7_published_comparisonREFUSINGNo denominator yet. Blocked on external registration-id resolution; citation-string matching explicitly refused rather than substituted.
P8_registration_identityHELD5 of 5 trial(s) verified live against the registry.
P18_restatement_is_reproducibleREFUSINGNo restatement block on this cascade, so there is nothing to re-derive. This is NOT_ASSESSABLE dressed as a refusal rather than a pass: a topic that has never been restated has not demonstrated that a restatement of it would be checkable.
P19_promotion_reaches_derived_blocksHELDinputs.trials, k_cascade.k_included_in_object and prisma_flow.included all say 5; no first-person field in published_comparison declares a k the pooled outcome(s) do not.
P20_cascade_reconcilesHELDk2_role_located=80 == k3+k4+k5, and k0_surfaced=82 == k3+k4+k5+kNA. Both checked, and every failing limb would be reported rather than the first.
P21_ambiguous_question_splitHELDSplit from 'apixaban-vte' into this review and 1 sibling(s) apixaban-vte-treatment, with the decision recorded at None. Nothing was dropped to resolve the ambiguity.
P22_sharing_recordedHELD1 shared trial(s), each recorded with the topics holding it and why: NCT02366871 in apixaban-vte and enoxaparin-vte. The object also states that summing per-topic k double-counts.
P23_recall_measuredHELDAll 3 recorded quer(ies) state their recall against this review's own included set: 1/1, 0/1 -- IT MISSED NCT02366871 ENTIRELY and NOT MEASURED.

k at every stage

Table 14. k at every stage
stagek
k0_surfaced82
k2_role_located80
k3_experimental54
k4_comparator19
k5_background7
kNA_not_assessable2
k_candidate_pool73
k_screened73
k_excluded42
k_eligible31
k_eligible_no_results_yet22
k_eligible_not_poolable4
k_eligible_poolable5
k_included_in_object5
k_pooled4
k_unscreened_remainder0
reproduced_byscripts/screen_apixaban_split_2026_08_19.py, scripts/adjudicate_apixaban_split_2026_08_19.py and scripts/repool_apixaban_prophylaxis_2026_08_19.py.
reconciliation82 surfaced = 54 + 19 + 7 + 2; 80 of the 82 had a role located. 73 are the candidate pool; 1 was in the parent object and 72 were screened. 42 excluded + 31 eligible = 73. Of the 31 eligible, 22 have posted no results, 4 are eligible and not poolable, and 5 are eligible and poolable, of which 4 contribute. REMAINDER ZERO.
why_the_remainder_is_now_ZERO_and_was_71The whole remainder has been screened. 33 of this review's 39 mechanical exclusions fail on POPULATION -- they are treatment trials in patients who have already had a venous thromboembolism, which is exactly the population the sibling review holds.
AND ITS DOMINANT DISPOSITION IS NOT EXCLUSIONTWENTY-TWO OF THE THIRTY-ONE ELIGIBLE TRIALS HAVE POSTED NO RESULTS -- more than twice this review's excluded-on-comparator count and more than four times the number that pool. Under the reading in PAGE-STANDARD.md, a remainder dominated by NOT-YET-REPORTED means the query is well aimed and THE FIELD IS STILL IN FLIGHT. The largest pending trial in either apixaban remainder is NCT06581965, n=10,078, individualised versus standard thrombosis prophylaxis -- larger than every trial in this pool combined. It is what will change this answer, and it is named for that reason.
keyed_onregistration id

Inclusion criteria — derived, post hoc

predefined: False  |  post_hoc: True — derived —

—

Table 15. Inclusion criteria — derived, post hoc
limbvaluederived from
———
———
———
———

The withholding question, asked at every rank

does each trial report, AT ANY RANK -- primary, secondary or other -- an outcome matching what the others report, before any decision about which pools are possible?

YES, AND IT IS A SECONDARY IN ALL FOUR

THE WHOLE POOL. Every contributing result is below the primary; a review reading primaries only would have found four incompatible composites and reported no pool. The poolable set went from 3 to 8 candidates and settled at 4 contributing trials and 13,570 participants. THE SIBLING REVIEW RAN THE IDENTICAL DISCIPLINE AND ITS POOLABLE SET FELL, 8 to 3. Asking is not a way of finding more trials.

—

Table 16. The withholding question, asked at every rank
registrationtrialtwo-componentthree-component

The same question, the opposite answer

Table 17. The same question, the opposite answer
reviewpoolable setdirection
apixaban-vte-prophylaxis3 -> 8UP -- the question RECOVERED a pool
apixaban-vte-treatment8 -> 3DOWN -- the question DISSOLVED a pool

THE SAME QUESTION, ASKED THE SAME WAY, ON THE SAME DRUG, ON THE SAME NIGHT, MOVED ONE REVIEW'S POOLABLE SET UP AND THE OTHER'S DOWN. Every earlier instance in this corpus recovered a pool, and a check that has only ever returned the convenient answer cannot be told apart from no check at all. This pair is the refutation, and it arose on its own rather than being sought: it cost the treatment review the two largest trials in its field. Asking the withholding question is not a way of finding more trials. It is a way of finding out.

NOT that either pool is correct -- both were judged by reading endpoint definitions, and that judgement stands or falls on its own. NOT that the direction is unpredictable in general; two instances are two instances. What it establishes is narrow and it is the thing that was missing: THE PROCEDURE HAS NO BUILT-IN DIRECTION, demonstrated rather than asserted.

Screening of the remainder — — screened, — included, — excluded, — not-assessable

—

k after screening: —. —

Table 18. Screening of the remainder — — screened, — included, — excluded, — not-assessable
failing limbnregistrations

The withholding question, asked at every rank

—

—

Table 19. The withholding question, asked at every rank
registrationrankmatching outcome

Every trial, with its reason

Table 20. Every trial, with its reason
registrationverdictlimbreason

Analysis output — major_vte (quoted verbatim)

—  |  call: Rscript ssot/fit_from_per_trial.R apixaban-vte-prophylaxis major_vte

R version 4.6.0 (2026-04-24 ucrt) 
metafor 5.0.1 
run_utc 2026-08-21

================================================================
TOPIC   apixaban-vte-prophylaxis
OUTCOME major_vte
STORED  RR 0.7433 (0.4371 to 1.2640), k = 4, random-effects / REML
INPUTS READ FROM THE OBJECT (log scale, SE derived from the published interval):
   ADOPT            0.9247 (0.6559 to 1.3036)  yi=-0.078286  sei=0.175227
   ADVANCE-3        0.3993 (0.1922 to 0.8293)  yi=-0.918042  sei=0.372978
   ADVANCE-1        1.4068 (0.7636 to 2.5919)  yi=+0.341318  sei=0.311767
   ADVANCE-2        0.5017 (0.2590 to 0.9715)  yi=-0.689753  sei=0.337254
----------------------------------------------------------------
CALL: rma(yi = yi, sei = sei, method = "REML", test = "knha")


Random-Effects Model (k = 4; tau^2 estimator: REML)

  logLik  deviance       AIC       BIC      AICc   
 -2.5205    5.0410    9.0410    7.2383   21.0410   

tau^2 (estimated amount of total heterogeneity): 0.2042 (SE = 0.2398)
tau (square root of estimated tau^2 value):      0.4519
I^2 (total heterogeneity / total variability):   71.48%
H^2 (total variability / sampling variability):  3.51

Test for Heterogeneity:
Q(df = 3) = 9.3122, p-val = 0.0254

Model Results:

estimate      se     zval    pval    ci.lb   ci.ub    
 -0.2967  0.2709  -1.0953  0.2734  -0.8275  0.2342    

---
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1


--- SAME FIT WITH HARTUNG-KNAPP (test = "knha") ---

Random-Effects Model (k = 4; tau^2 estimator: REML)

  logLik  deviance       AIC       BIC      AICc   
 -2.5205    5.0410    9.0410    7.2383   21.0410   

tau^2 (estimated amount of total heterogeneity): 0.2042 (SE = 0.2398)
tau (square root of estimated tau^2 value):      0.4519
I^2 (total heterogeneity / total variability):   71.48%
H^2 (total variability / sampling variability):  3.51

Test for Heterogeneity:
Q(df = 3) = 9.3122, p-val = 0.0254

Model Results:

estimate      se     tval  df    pval    ci.lb   ci.ub    
 -0.2967  0.2781  -1.0666   3  0.3644  -1.1818  0.5885    

---
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1


BACK-TRANSFORMED:
   unadjusted     0.7433 (0.4371 to 1.2639)
   Hartung-Knapp  0.7433 (0.3067 to 1.8013)   [t crit 3.1824 on 3 df]  <- HOUSE INTERVAL, inflation factor floored at 1 (raw 1.0269)
   metafor raw    0.7433 (0.3067 to 1.8013)   [test=knha, UNFLOORED]
   tau^2 0.204237   Q 9.3122 on 3 df, p = 0.0254   I^2 71.48%

AGREES WITH THE STORED POINT TO 4 dp: YES

Published-meta comparison — PENDING_EXTERNAL_RESOLUTION

Denominator: —. Not established, and the obstacle is that no candidate synthesis has been identified for this estimand. The PubMed search at search.databases[2] reported 439 record(s) and retrieved 50; 389 were not retrieved, and 0 published benchmark(s) are recorded on this object. There is nothing yet to form a denominator over.

Explicitly not done: CITATION-STRING MATCHING. It would produce a comparison-shaped answer tonight and it is not identity: two syntheses citing the same trial under different labels would read as different, and the same label on different trials as the same. That is the substitution class this project audits for.

Blocked on: lane 2 registration-id resolution

Preconditions

Authority: Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions 6.5, 2024, verified 2026-08-19. Publishable: True.

Table 21. Preconditions
preconditionverdictreasonauthority
population_statedPASSpresent: question carries 220 charactersMECIR C62 'Ensuring meta-analyses are meaningful' (Mandatory, READ 2026-08-19): 'Undertake (or display) a meta-analysis only if participants, interventions, comparisons and outcomes are judged to be s
arm_role_resolvedNOT-ASSESSABLEcannot assess: inputs.trials has 1 trial(s) with no readable arms ['NCT02366871'] and 0 with a blank arm role []. Absent role data is not a wrong role.MECIR C62 (Mandatory), 'interventions' limb -- this is a PRECONDITION FOR ASSESSING C62, not an enforcement of it: you cannot judge whether interventions are 'sufficiently similar' without knowing whi
comparators_identifiedPASSevery outcome names a comparator type ['active']; none declares 'mixed'. Within-outcome consistency is visible only through the declared type, and cross-outcome differences are not judged.MECIR C62 (Mandatory), 'comparisons' limb -- a synthesis pools one contrast. NOT cited to C7: C7 governs PREDEFINITION, and this check reads recorded comparator fields and tests them for consistency.
estimand_namedPASSoutcomes.estimand: all 1 outcome(s) name a quantityMECIR C8 'Clarifying role of outcomes' (Mandatory, READ 2026-08-19); MECIR C62 (Mandatory), 'outcomes' limb
criteria_statedPASSpresent: screening.eligibility carries 891 charactersMECIR R29 'Eligibility criteria for types of participants', R30 '...types of interventions', R31 'Role of outcomes' -- ALL Mandatory REPORTING standards (READ 2026-08-19). Their verb is STATE. A block
criteria_predefinedFAILscreening.eligibility_provenance.predefined is false: the criteria were DERIVED post hoc from this object's own question and recorded exclusions. That is auditable (R29/R30/R31) and is not pre-specification (C5/C7). ThisMECIR C5 'Predefining unambiguous criteria for participants' AND C7 '...for interventions and comparators', BOTH Mandatory (READ 2026-08-19): 'Predefined, unambiguous eligibility criteria are a fundam
eligibility_metNOT-ASSESSABLEcannot assess: criteria are stated, but sources is an empty dict -- no full text was available this pass, and inclusion logic is conditional proseMECIR C5/C7 (Mandatory) with C6 'Predefining a strategy for studies with a subset of eligible participants' (Highly desirable, READ 2026-08-19) -- eligibility is assessed against the full report
contributes_a_randomised_contrastNOT-ASSESSABLEcannot assess: 1 of 5 trial(s) carry no readable arm roles ['NCT02366871']Handbook 6.5 s23.3.4 'How to include multiple groups from one study' (READ 2026-08-19) and s23.3.6 'Factorial trials'; MECIR C7 'Predefining unambiguous criteria for interventions and comparators' (Ma

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